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Alan Greenspan Spoke to the Senate Again Alan Greenspan spoke to the Senate again. He has now made himself
into a total toady for the building of the coming Economic disaster.
Unfortunately people are still being gulled by the cheap money campaign
waged by the Fed that resulted in W's reelection. I know, I know
the 2004 election was waged on values and the Republican's won,
that's all there is to it isn't it? Well maybe the world we live in is a tetch more complex than that.
Maybe all of the ads that sold the public the bill of goods that
this President has great values were successful. Perhaps it was
because the words God and Jesus fall trippingly but sincerely from
his lips. It is more likely that those ads often worked because
the real world wasn't pinching the average household significantly
enough yet. Would W win today? Maybe not even against Kerry; and
the pinch hasn't really started yet. Iraq was neutralized because Kerry had a sodden conversion to the
neocon philosophy of conquest first then democracy. Well, we won
in Iraq, didn't we? And Democracy is on the march everywhere, not
just in Iraq. Hmmm, I think the instant results mindset will not
probably win out in the end even if the conventional wisdom right
now is that Iraq was a success. Will it look that way in five years,
in ten years, how about in twenty five years? I only know one thing
for sure; Iraq will be different in twenty five years, massively
different. It is more than Forty years since some of us from my high school
graduating class were drafted into the Vietnam war. Vietnam is becoming
a labor source for the world the way that China has in the last
ten years. Democracy has no power in either nation but we are trading
with them and they are accepting our capital and building factories
like there's no tomorrow. Waging peace was successful there in the
way that waging war had not been. It only took time. Vietnam will
eventually have a more liberal government than it does today; financial
success does that for nations. Ask the survivors of Chairman Mao
and his Red Brigades. Oh yeah he was still there around forty years
ago too wasn't he? Alan, the man who made Ann Randy when he was young, has discovered
dissimulation in his old age. That happens to a lot of us. I just
read an interesting book "Financial Reckoning Day" By
William Bonner with Addison Wiggin. The book is delightful, humorous,
informative and scary. It is also clearly not a song of praise for
our current politics or economics here in the USA. Two guys who
saw the Tech bubble coming and have a basic understanding of human
nature wrote this book. I recommend it highly. It dishes the real
dirt about Alan, who is after all just another ideologue in a powerful
office. What I see in Washington on both sides of the aisle is a greed-fest
of mammoth proportions. I am equally disgusted with both mainstream
parties. Every one of the "Leaders" in our government
has their hand out for the corporate graft that flows through our
sewer on the hill. It is how business is done there now. It is obvious
that both parties have been co-opted into the unthinking worship
of markets that underlies the prevalent wisdom emanating from our
capitol. Markets have been elevated to the pantheon of perfect human
institutions along with Democracy. The step to helping corporations
help themselves at the expense of the people is a short one in that
environment. Both parties have done it over and over again in the
past few years and they are getting more adept at it every day. Unfortunately for all of us, imbalances like the one in Washington
are bound to create instability in the system that spawned them.
This bubble of greed will burst and dump its smelly contents on
the public at large eventually. When it does some of the people
that it lands on are going to be unhappy. Let's see, "Corporate
profits are up so the economy is good and all's right with the world,"
is that how it goes? Would that such truisms reflected reality,
it would be an easier world to live in for all of us. Decoupling the fortunes of the Fortune 500 from those of the working
class in the USA has not been Washington's finest hour. The people
who built that wealth live here but they are increasingly losing
any semblance of control over any aspect of how it is used and who
benefits from it. The people of this nation also have lost the benefit
of one of the most important elements of that concentrated wealth,
the jobs. Those jobs are leaving our shores never to return. That
is starting to cause a great big problem for our society. If capital
leaves the USA for China or India in multi billion dollar chunks
as it is doing now, will we be made richer by that change? It hardly
seems likely. Now that the richest companies in the world are no longer investing
seriously in projects that create jobs here we have lost a resource.
The absence of that resource will decrease the amount of wealth
available to our working classes. It may be a surprise to some of
us, but most of us are aware that without a well paying job held
by at least one member most families fail. Social instability is
not reduced in times of financial stress. The ten trillion dollars
or so of value held in the hands of our major corporations represent
the life work of several generations of our citizens. Will the next
generation here profit from those massive concentrations of wealth?
It seems unlikely at this point in time. How can they really leave us behind? After all we represent one
forth of the total world market today. Yes Grasshopper but that
market is expanding all around us now. The demographics suggest
that China is four times as large a potential market as the USA.
India is potentially three times as large and growing fast. We only
need to hold on for a few years and the growth in those places will
replace our function as the dominant market in the world. Of course
all of that wealth belongs to the world now, not the USA. Does that capital ever really leave our shores when we own the
dominant number of shares in those companies here? Will an ownership
society change all of that for the better and allow us all to live
without working? The answer my friend is blown in the winds of international
trade. First and foremost we are draining wealth from this nation
to feed our greed for products that are produced elsewhere now.
One trillion dollars a year in value is leaving our nation between
financing our government deficits and our balance of payments deficit
abroad. At that rate we will only own half of the forty trillion
in wealth that exists here in twenty years. Of course the total
amount of wealth in our nation will have doubled in that time. Unfortunately
the deficits are expanding more rapidly than wealth is being created.
Furthermore can you say that Chrysler Corporation's wealth exists
here any more? Benz owns that venerable company now and the wealth
is not here any more. It is somewhere in the world but not here.
As the automobile building capacity of the world increases will
our production of cars decline or even stop? Look at the textile
industry if you want an answer to that question. The competition
for jobs in the textile industry has been won and it is not here
that those jobs have settled; it is in China. We do have a problem but it is not an easy one to recognize or
solve. It is much easier to participate in the greed-fest than to
even try to understand this problem. I feel the winds of change
blowing cold across my neck. But what the neck the noose isn't there
this morning yet. I think I'll go out on my patio and listen to
the wren that sings there every morning. Have a nice day! |
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